By Thomas Paterniti
Week 8 Review
Several huge upsets this week don’t bode well for the ol’ simball coach’s pick’em record, so before we move on to this week’s picks, let’s examine every terrible decision I made in excruciating detail.
Carolina at Tulsa (-4) – Tulsa favored by 4 | Actual: Carolina won by 10
Tallahassee at Alaska (-5) – Alaska favored by 5 | Actual: Tallahassee won by 1
London at Oklahoma City (-3) – Oklahoma City favored by 3 | Actual: London won by 21
New Orleans at Sioux Falls (+7) – New Orleans favored by 7 | Actual: Sioux Falls won by 11
Baltimore at Indianapolis (+9)* – Baltimore favored by 9 | Actual: Baltimore won by 18
Houston at Denver (-9) – Denver favored by 9 | Actual: Denver won by 2
Mexico City at Dallas (+12) – Mexico City favored by 12 | Actual: Dallas won by 19
Las Vegas at Atlanta (+4) – Las Vegas favored by 4 | Actual: Atlanta won by 4
San Francisco at St. Louis (+10) – San Francisco favored by 10 | Actual: San Francisco won by 5
Queen City at Vancouver (+9) – Queen City favored by 9 | Actual: Vancouver won by 13
Best Bets: None – even the teams where I guessed the winner, the games did not go the way I expected
Bad Beats: Many, but the worst were Mexico City at Dallas and Queen City at Vancouver
Just a disaster! Do I even get to call myself a prognosticator at this point? Well, what I lack in measurable talent I will make up for with sheer perseverance and try to do better this week – I can’t do much worse!
Week 9 Betting Lines
Week 9 is all about redemption. Queen City, Alaska, and Mexico City are coming off of unexpected losses, and looking to prove they are still the teams to beat in the league. Denver is coming off an unimpressive win and looking to show that they can be dominant against top tier opponents. Baltimore is looking to avenge an early season loss against a perennial powerhouse, and Sioux Falls is trying to show that they are all the way back after a difficult start to the season. This week is also the time when teams will start being eliminated from the playoffs, so the stakes are higher than they’ve ever been!
Saturday, 7 pm CT
Sioux Falls at Queen City (-5) – Queen City favored by 5
Queen City was humbled last week on the road, but look for them to recover this week against a solid Sioux Falls team and prove they haven’t gone anywhere.
Alaska at Mexico City (+3) – Alaska favored by 3
Mexico City struggled last week against a Dallas team with a style of offense similar to what Alaska will likely use, so look for those struggles to continue and for Alaska to get back to their winning ways.
Sunday, 3 pm CT
Denver at London (+1) – Denver favored by 1
This is my upset alert. Look for Denver to pull out a close game, but I would not at all be surprised if London shocks the Nightwings.
Vancouver at Tulsa (+3) – Vancouver favored by 3
Vancouver must go on the road where they’ve struggled, while Tulsa is looking to find themselves and prove they can win against top competition. Look for the Legion to pull out a tough win.
Dallas at San Francisco (+15) – Dallas favored by 15
San Francisco has played mediocre teams close, but struggled against top tier opponents, and right now Dallas has the scariest offense in the league. Look for the Lobos to roll on the road.
Sunday, 7 pm CT
Baltimore at Tallahassee (-5)* – Tallahassee favored by 5
The hometown Pride are coming off a season-defining win over the Alaska Storm whilst the Vultures head into this weekend facing no real test since Week 6. Tallahassee won the reverse fixture earlier in the Season and I see this one going the same way, although you can never count out a quality squad like Baltimore.
*Betting line and write-up courtesy of Matthew Slinn
Monday, 7 pm CT
Atlanta at New Orleans (-3) – New Orleans favored by 3
New Orleans will be looking to recover from last week’s loss, while Atlanta is trying to avoid a letdown following their sensational win-by-goalline-stand last week. Look for the Pharaohs to get back to their winning ways and pull out a close win.
Las Vegas at Carolina (+3) – Las Vegas favored by 3
On paper Las Vegas has the roster and the coaches to win this game going away, but Carolina has been improving steadily over the entire season. Look for Las Vegas to pull out a win, but don’t be surprised if Carolina forces an upset.
Oklahoma City at Chicago (-7) – Chicago favored by 7
Although Oklahoma City has played well in spurts this season, Chicago has had success against primarily run-based offenses. Look for them to contain JW Doyle and win this one at home.
St. Louis at Indianapolis (-4) – Indianapolis favored by 4
In this battle of teams with recent roster changes looking to build momentum going into next season, Indy’s abundance of offensive firepower is a matchup nightmare for a St. Louis team whose defense has struggled mightily. Look for the Gladiators to play hard, but fall a little short on the road.